CONFERENCE PROGRAM

OCTOBER 29, 2015 (Day 1)

SESSION I. DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND AND POPULATION AGING IN ASIA

Chair: John Piggott, University of New South Wales

09:00–09:30 a.m. Paper 1: Introduction: Setting the stage by Ronald Lee and Andrew Mason

09:30–10:00 a.m. Paper 2: Demographic Dividend and Asia's Economic Convergence towards the US by Joonkyung Ha and Sang-Hyop Lee

10:00–10:30 a.m. Paper 3: Population Ageing in Asia and the Pacific: Dependency Metrics for Policy by Rafal Chomik, Peter McDonald, and John Piggott

10:30–10:50 a.m. Coffee break

10:50–11:20 a.m. Commentaries: Peter Heller (Paper 1), Andrew Mason (Paper 2), Ke Shen (Paper 3)

11:20–11:50 a.m. Open discussion

11:50-12:00 a.m. Group Photo

12:10–01:00 p.m. Lunch

SESSION II. POPULATION AGING IN EAST ASIA: COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

Chair: Alejandro N. Herrin, University of the Philippines School of Economics

01:00–01:30 p.m. Paper 4: Wellbeing of the Elderly in East Asia: China, Korea, and Japan by Hidehiko Ichimura, Xiaoyan Lei, Chulhee Lee, Jinkook Lee, Albert Park, and Yasuyuki Sawada

01:30–02:00 p.m. Paper 5: The Economic Burden of Chronic Diseases: Estimates and Projections for China, Japan, and Korea by David Bloom, Simiao Chen, Mark McGovern, Les Oxley, and Klaus Prettner

02:00–02:20 p.m. Commentaries: Hawre Jalal (Paper 4), Timothy Halliday (Paper 5)

02:20–02:40 p.m. Open discussion

02:40–03:00 p.m. Coffee break

SESSION III. POPULATION AGING IN EAST ASIA

Chair: Tai-Hun Kim, Asia Pacific Population Institute

03:00–03:30 p.m. Paper 6: The Aging of Japan: What Lessons Can Be Drawn? by Peter Heller

03:30–04:00 p.m. Paper 7: Japan’s Pension Reform and Its Economic Impact by Sang-Hyop Lee, Naohiro Ogawa and Rikiya Matsukura

04:00–04:20 p.m. Commentaries: Sumner LaCroix (Paper 6), Michael Abrigo (Paper 7)

04:20–04:40 p.m. Open discussion

OCTOBER 30, 2015 (Day 2)

SESSION IV. POPULATION AGING AND SOCIAL POLICIES

Chair: Andrew Mason, University of Hawaii at Manoa and East-West Center

09:00–09:30 a.m. Paper 8: Compression of Morbidity and Projected Medical Spending in Japan in Comparative Perspective by Jay Bhattacharya, Brian K. Chen, Karen Eggleston, Hideki Hashimoto, Toshiaki Iizuka, Hawre Jalal, Lena Shoemaker

09:30–10:00 a.m. Paper 9: National Pension Program: Panacea or Poison under Rapid Population Aging? by Kevin Yu-Ching Hsieh and An-Chi Tung

10:00–10:30 a.m. Paper 10: Analyzing the Gender Differentials of Demographic Transition in the Republic of Korea by Hyun Kyung Kim and Ki-Hoon Kim

10:30–10:50 a.m. Coffee break

10:50–11:20 a.m. Commentaries: Mark McGovern (Paper 8), Rafal Chomik (Paper 9), Hee Hoon Eun (Paper 10)

11:20–11:50 a.m. Open discussion

11:50–01:00 p.m. Lunch

SESSION V. GENERATIONAL ECONOMY BY GENDER AND INCOME

Chair: Ronald Lee, UC Berkeley

01:00–01:30 p.m. Paper 11: Examining Economic Gains Accompanying Age Structure Transition in the Philippines Using Population Groups Observed Over Time by Rachel H. Racelis, Michael R.M. Abrigo, J.M. Ian Salas, Alejandro N. Herrin

01:30–02:00 p.m. Paper 12: Patterns of Inequalities in Public Transfers by Gender in China by Ke Shen, Feng Wang, and Young Cai

02:00–02:20 p.m. Commentaries: Jinkook Lee (Paper 11), J.M. Ian Salas (Paper 12)

02:20–02:40 p.m. Open discussion

02:40–02:50 p.m. Coffee break

SESSION VI. MAJOR FINDINGS AND POLICY IMPLICATIONS

02:50–03:40 p.m. Convened by Ronald Lee, Sang-Hyop Lee, and Andrew Mason

03:40–03:40 p.m. Closing remarks by EWC and KOSTAT organizers

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